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US Real Estate Market Update – Nov 2009
Nov 1st
| Latest statistics of housing sales in the US have shown a decline in the final weeks leading up to the completion date of the real estate tax credit. Set to expire on November 30th, the tax credit was designed as a boost for the real estate sector, providing first time homebuyers with an US$8,000 rebate on property purchases.The sudden decline in sales has provided further evidence to the government that the tax credit was in fact assisting with the growth of the market over the past months. Demands for an extension of the credit have been under consideration by the government, expected to announce a final decision in the coming weeks.
Following the decline in property sales over the past month, it is predicted that the decline will continue without the incentive from the tax credit. As property prices continue to remain low, those with the capacity to purchase under current economic conditions are unlikely to rush into immediate sales without the additional benefit of the tax credit incentive. Along with property sales, applications for building permits also fell during September, further adding to the bleak outlook for sales and construction in the coming months. While it is predicted that some construction works over the past 6 months were hastened for buyers wishing to take advantage of the tax credit, the overall outlook for the US property market does not appear set to regain balance in the coming months. Foreclosures have been another despairing area of the US real estate market, with record numbers of filings over the past three month period. Foreclosure filings are expected to affect over 1 million more homeowners in 2009 compared with the previous year. Property repossessions have also increased in September by over 10,000 homes in comparison to figures from August. When combining the impending end of the 2009 tax credit, applications for construction permits, foreclosures and repossessions, the US real estate market appears quite grim. However, in comparison to the figures from January, the sector has improved by over 20%, lending a positive light to the atmosphere of the market. |
The Power of Feng Shui to Sell A Home
Nov 1st
Feng Shui is a type of Chinese design that helps to bring positive energy to a home. The way in which you have things laid out can influence what type of feelings people entering the home are able to receive. Using the power of Feng Shui you will be able to sell your home in less time. This is because the decision to buy a home is also an emotional one.
The feelings that people have when they are in your home can determine whether they are interested in buying it or not. Chances are they have already decided they like the location, the size of it, and the price before they schedule a time to come see it or stop in for an open house.
To do this, you want to start with the outside of your home. That is the first thing people are going to see when they are coming to look at it. Have some fun making changes but you also need to be tuned into what is going on. Go to the end of your driveway and take a note of what you see. Write down how you feel about your home from that distance. Let the words flow and don’t criticize what you are writing down.
Adding some nice plants to your landscaping makes the home inviting. You don’t need to have very many of them to make a nice transformation. If you have an entry way, a table with some fresh flowers is a great way to bring positive energy into the home. One area that you want to offer a very relaxing look into is the bathroom. Here you should have things set up to show it as a room where a person can completely pamper themselves.
You also need to create positive energy in the bedroom and the kitchen. Why? The theory behind this Chinese method of decorating is that a person should feel confident that they can eat, sleep, and get clean with positive elements all around them. Perhaps this is why you feel great when you go to a certain hotel or stay with a particular friend but you don’t get the same types of feelings when you are at other locations.
Avoid having mirrors offered as soon as a person walks into your home. This is said to result in the positive energy being reflected back out of the home instead of into it. The entire concept of Feng Shui is quite fascinating. In fact, you may want to read books about it so you can decorate your new home according to the guidelines that it offers. The more you learn about Feng Shui the more you can get your home for sell ready using those techniques.
There are Feng Shui consultants out there too that you can hire to come do an assessment of your home. They will walk you through what changes need to be done and why. They can also help you with accomplishing them. The cost of hiring such a consultant varies by location. You may have to look around online to find someone in your area. It certainly won’t hurt to contact them to see what they have to offer.
The power of Feng Shui is something you can use to quickly sell your home. It is a way to get positive emotions running through a person. They may not even realize that you have things set up that way because many people aren’t familiar with this type of positive energy. What they will know though is that they love your home and that they feel very good when they are in it.
Several Things You Must Do Before Buying A Home
Nov 1st
We all would love to own our own home at some point in our life. There are many important factors to think about before you buy a house or speak to a lender. Buying a home is a major purchase, probably one of the most important purchases you will ever make. If you don’t go about the home buying process in the correct manner, you could possibly feel uncomfortable in your new home or possibly face unforeseen financial problems in the future by not being prepared.
Before purchasing your home, here are some important things to you should think about:
1. How long do you plan on staying in your new home? If you are not ready to settle down, it is not advised to purchase a home. When you do buy a house, you should be planning on living in the house for a very long time. If you are planning on moving in six months or so after your purchase, there is really no reason to purchase property until you are ready to settle down.
2. How stable are your finances? Depending on the amount you are borrowing, the lender will reconcile your earnings accordingly. If you work for a company, you should evaluate the company and make sure the company will be able to keep you employed. It’s also wise to think about what you would do if you lost your job. Think about the stability of your company. Is there adequate money in your savings account to make payments on your job if you lost your job? By not considering these important factors, you could face foreclosure by not planning ahead.
3. Can you handle paying a debt which is long term? You should always have your finances in line for the future. Along with your other financial obligations, will your mortgage payments be affordable to your budget? Always take into account your other financial responsibilities. Bills will need to be paid for years to come.
4. How does your credit report look? In order to purchase a house, you should have a good credit report. All companies that lend money will review your credit status and records. Any negative reports will have a tremendous effect on your loan approval status. You should get a duplicate of your credit record before you apply for a loan. By doing this, you can dispute any negative findings on your credit report. By settling negative accounts on your report, you can present your lender with a more acceptable credit report.
5. Will it be possible for you to successfully maintain bills and afford unpredictable repairs associated with the house your are purchasing? When a repair is needed, will your finances be adequate to fix the problem? Can your financial status handle emergency repairs? You will also need to pay for property insurance. Will the price of property insurance fit into your budget? Insurance and repairs are very possible. Be sure to have the financial back up you will need.
What are the Tax Advantages to Owning A Home?
Nov 1st
It feels good to be a homeowner, and you’re going to feel even better when you take advantage of the tax cuts that are only available to homeowners. The shifting economy of the past year or so has created additional tax deductions. Plus, increasing ecological concerns have resulted in some green tax benefits you can look into.
Claiming these deductions means you most likely will have to itemize on your tax return-no more short forms for you! But they net you enough money to make itemizing worth the cost. Just be certain to keep all of your receipts throughout the year.
One of the primary tax advantages that has been and always will be around is the deduction of interest you pay on your mortgage each year. For those unaware of how your mortgage is structured, when you buy a home and decide how many years you want to pay it off, the lender figures out how much interest you will owe them by the end of those years. In the early years of home ownership, most of your monthly mortgage goes toward interest. And, it’s tax deductible.
You should be aware of limitations. For example, you can generally declare this interest for first and second mortgages, refinanced mortgages, or home equity loans, as long as the total value of the mortgages does not surpass the fair market value of the home.
First-time home buyers in 2008 and 2009 can take huge tax credits of up to $8,000. Basically these applied to purchases made between April 8, 2008, and December 1, 2009. As the government persists in its efforts to stabilize the economy, check to see if this credit is extended beyond 2009, or find out whether you can claim it for a property that closed after that date by filing an extension.
If you bought your home early in 2009 when the government offered a $7,500 tax credit that had to be repaid, you can file an amended return to qualify for the $8,000 tax credit that does not have to be repaid.
The state and local real estate taxes you pay are deductible. Be careful to include only those taxes that apply to your home. For instance, you must exclude local employment taxes.
You can also deduct mortgage points paid when you financed your home. There is a list of qualifications, available in IRS Tax Topic 504-paying the points must be usual practice in your community; points charged cannot be excessive; points are calculated using the principal amount of your mortgage, and so forth.
The first year you buy a home, you can take a big deduction from the sales taxes you pay. These include the state and local taxes you paid for the cost of your home, as well as items you purchase to build or maintain the home.
Most people take a deduction for general sales tax paid throughout the year based on their adjusted gross income. But if this is a year when you acquired several major appliances for your new home, you might want to take the deduction for these big-ticket items. Just be certain you have receipts! This includes taxes you spend on materials to maintain existing value of the property-such as repairing the sidewalk-but not to improve the value of the property.
If you install energy-saving features such as solar electric or water heating, small wind energy, a geothermal pump, or small wind energy pump, you can take a deduction. This must be on your residence and not on business property.
Last but not least, be certain to document valuables within your home. Not only will you need this for your insurance, but in the event of a theft or catastrophe you can deduct the loss if it exceeds a percentage of your adjusted gross income by $500. Check tax laws in effect at the time for the exact qualifications.
How to Read the Economy to Sell Houses
Nov 1st
The real estate market is very susceptible to fluctuations in the market. The recent decline in the economy has resulted in an unstable housing market. A shaky market and decline in housing values has caused many people to wonder when it is a good time to sell a home. Fortunately, there are number of economic factors one can assess to determine if it is a good time to sell a home.
No matter the location, the housing market will always have its ups and down. When looking to sell a home, two things you should look at are the state of your local housing market and your financial situation. For instance, you will make less money on a sale if the housing market contains more homes than there is a demand. In this situation, sales prices will be lower and the housing market is slowing down. Homes for sale are much more difficult and you will not make as much on the sale.
In a market that is beneficial to a seller, the number of buyers is greater that the number of the homes on the housing market. This means that a seller will likely make a higher sale because there are more buyers looking for homes. As well, sellers have more flexibility when it comes to accepting an offer.
A housing market where the number of homes for sale equals the number of people looking to buy a home is known as a ‘balanced housing market.’ You can sell a home in a reasonable amount of time and you will receive reasonable offers from potential buyers.
When determining what is taking place in the housing market, you should check to see what is taking place in your community and neighborhood. Check to see how many homes are for sale and how long it is taking for the homes to sell. As well, check to see how many people are actually actively looking for a home. If homes are selling and there are a lot of people looking, then you will probably have a good chance of selling your home at a great price.
The recent housing crisis has resulted in a decrease in home sales. As well, the values of homes have also decreased. Fortunately, the housing market is cyclical so the market will bounce back. A recent reduction in mortgage interest rates is having a positive impact on the housing market. It is important to keep up-to-date on interest rate trends for the housing market.
Selling a home is supposed to give one a good return on their investment. You want to sell your home for the best possible price. Before you list your home on the open market, it is important to be aware of the current market conditions. It is a good idea to enlist the services of a real estate agent because these agents know all the “ins and outs” of the real estate market so they can help you get a great price for your home. By understanding the housing market, you will have the knowledge about when it is the best time to sell your home.
Recession unlikely to hit Bay Area in ’08
Jan 28th
By David R. Barker, San Francisco Chronicle
The Bay Area probably won’t slide into a recession this year, but it will come close.That’s the prediction of the Association of Bay Area Governments, which released its annual economic forecast Thursday.
Job growth will slow, household income will barely keep pace with inflation and the housing market will continue its slump, according to the group. But the Bay Area won’t lose jobs, the way it did during the dot-com crash. And the region’s economy should start to recover in 2009.
“I’m saying we’re going to skirt the recession, but I’m not saying it’s happy days,” said economist Paul Fassinger, the association’s research director.
His prediction came with a caveat. If the United States as a whole sinks into a recession, the Bay Area will follow, Fassinger said. But it won’t be anywhere near as severe as the last economic downturn, which wiped out 400,000 jobs here.
“If it is a recession,” he said, “it will be a mild one, and it will be short.”
The association acts as a regional planning agency for 101 Bay Area cities, towns and counties, and the local economy’s health shapes everything those governments do. About 200 government officials and employees gathered at the association’s Oakland headquarters Thursday to hear what the year might have in store.
“If this is a prolonged situation, it’s going to have a real impact on our quality of life,” said Joe Eddy McDonald, vice mayor of Hercules, listening to the forecast. He feared that a recession could slow his city’s efforts to develop a ferry, bus and train hub on the waterfront.
Already the association’s researchers see ample signs of a slowdown.
Hammered by the mortgage crisis, the number of permits for new housing in California dropped to an estimated 113,000 in 2007 – the lowest level since 1997 – while home foreclosures soared. The Bay Area’s unemployment rate rose to 4.8 percent last month, compared with 3.8 percent a year earlier. And while last year’s retail sales in the Bay Area were higher than the year before, their rate of growth slowed, from 5 percent in 2006 to 3.7 percent in 2007.
“We ended the year without a lot of momentum in the California economy, and we’re expecting it to slow in 2008,” said Howard Roth, chief economist with the California Department of Finance. “The risk of a recession is a lot higher now than it was a year ago.”
But a recession is not inevitable.
Despite the recent slowdown, Bay Area household incomes have held steady, growing 1.2 percent faster than inflation in 2007. The region added 54,100 jobs. And while American consumers have grown increasingly skittish about spending, foreign tourists continue to pump money into Bay Area stores, particularly in San Francisco.
“International tourists will flock to the city by the bay, due to the weak dollar,” said Hing Wong, senior regional planner for the association.
The group expects taxable sales to grow in the next two years but not by much, rising about 2.7 percent in 2008 and 3.3 percent in 2009.
The region will add jobs. But again, the pace will be sluggish, with 15,000 new jobs in 2008 and 25,250 in 2009.
Inflation will fall – slightly – compared with 2007, when soaring oil prices pushed up the costs of gasoline and food. The association predicts that inflation in the Bay Area will be 3.4 percent in 2008 and 3 percent in 2009.
Household incomes will keep rising. But in 2008, that increase will just keep pace with inflation. In 2009, incomes should rise 0.5 percent faster than inflation.
“You’re not going to see any real growth in incomes,” Fassinger said. “We’re not going to see an outright recession in 2008. But it’s going to be much slower than 2007.”
Taxable sales growth
Forecast
2008 2.7%
2009 3.3%
Income growth
Forecast
(over inflation)
2008 0%
2009 0.5%
Job growth
Forecast
2008 15,000
2009 25,250
Source: ABAG
Buy a Brand New Home and Get Landscaping Credit
Oct 20th
Buy a Brand New Windemere Home in San Ramon and get a $7500.00 landscaping credit, compliments of the Shastri Team!
That’s right! Purchase your new home in the beautiful community of Windemere in San Ramon through the Shastri Team at Remax and in addition to the great pricing offered by the builders, you will get an additional $7,500.00* towards the landscaping of your new house, courtesy of the Shastri Team! But don’t wait, as this promotion is for a limited time only! Call today – 925.699.9099.
*Credit given in escrow, from commissions earned by the builder.
About Windemere:
Windemere is a master planned community offering a broad selection of home sizes and styles. Along with the new neighborhoods, are state-of-the-art schools, 18 parks, miles of trails, a new community center and library and acres of dedicated open space. In fact 55% of the land is dedicated to permanent open space. Windemere BLC is a partnership of Brookfield Homes, Centex Homes and Lennar Homes.
Schools – Windemere schools rank in the Top 2% Statewide.
Schools in the district have won the National Blue Ribbon Award or State Distinguished School designations 28 times over the past decade.
Elementary Schools:
Hidden Hills Elementary
Hidden Hills Elementary received a score of 959 out of a possible 1000 on the 2007 Academic Performance Index. Also offers complete on-campus before and after school programs.
Live Oak Elementary School
This state-of-the-art campus is located next to the 15-acre San Ramon Sports Park and Tiffany Roberts Field. Before and after school programs are also provided.
Middle School:
Windemere Ranch Middle School
Windemere Ranch Middle School received a score of 928 out of a possible 1000 on the 2007 Academic Performance Index. The new campus includes a language lab, computer lab and more.
High School:
Dougherty Valley High School
The first new high school in the valley in 32 years, this 54-acre campus offers great academics and comprehensive athletic facilities—an aquatic center, gym, football field, track and more. Everything is state-of-the-art.
College:
Diablo Valley College, San Ramon Valley Campus
This 65,000 square foot state-of-the-art campus serves students of all ages and interests with classes ranging from culinary arts to computer science.
Call the Shastri Team today to find your next Windemere Home – 925.699.9099.
Improvement in Mortgage Market Bodes Well for Housing in 2008
Oct 16th
WASHINGTON, October 10, 2007 -
Conditions in the mortgage market are improving for consumers, which should help to release some pent-up demand in early 2008, according to the latest forecast by the National Association of Realtors®.
Conditions in the mortgage market are improving for consumers, which should help to release some pent-up demand in early 2008, according to the latest forecast by the National Association of Realtors®.
Lawrence Yun, NAR senior economist, notes that widening credit availability will help turn around home sales. “Conforming loans are abundantly available at historically favorable mortgage rates. Pricing has steadily improved on jumbo mortgages since the August credit crunch, and FHA loans are replacing subprime mortgages,” he said.
Yun said it’s important to place the current housing market in perspective, and that 2007 will be the fifth highest year on record for existing-home sales. “Although sales are off from an unsustainable peak in 2005, there is a historically high level of home sales taking place this year – a lot of people are, in fact, buying homes,” he said. “One out of 16 American households is buying a home this year. The speculative excesses have been removed from the market and home sales are returning to fundamentally healthy levels, while prices remain near record highs, reflecting favorable mortgage rates and positive job gains.”
He emphasized all real estate is local with naturally large variations within a given area. “Markets like Austin, Salt Lake City and Raleigh have been outperforming recently and will continue to do well next year,” Yun said. “Other areas like Denver and Wichita will likely move up in the price growth rankings due to very positive local economic developments.”
Existing-home sales are expected to total 5.78 million in 2007 and then rise to 6.12 million next year, in contrast with 6.48 million in 2006. New-home sales are forecast at 804,000 this year and 752,000 in 2008, down from 1.05 million in 2006; a recovery for new homes will be delayed until next spring.
“A cutback in housing construction is a positive sign for the market because it will help lower inventory and firm up home prices,” Yun said. Housing starts, including multifamily units, are likely to total 1.37 million in 2007 and 1.24 million next year, down from 1.80 million in 2006.
NAR President Pat V. Combs, from Grand Rapids, Mich., and vice president of Coldwell Banker-AJS-Schmidt, said, “Housing is still a good long-term investment, and we’ll be seeing a broad, modest improvement in home prices in 2008. With widely varying conditions, the best advice for consumers is to consult a Realtor® in their area to learn about local market conditions because supply and demand can change from one neighborhood to the next.”
Existing-home prices will probably slip 1.3 percent to a median of $219,000 in 2007 before rising 1.3 percent next year to $221,800. The median new-home price should drop 2.1 percent to $241,400 this year, and then increase 1.0 percent in 2008 to $243,900.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is expected to average 6.4 percent for the next two quarters and then edge up to the 6.6 percent range in the second half 2008. Additional cuts expected in the Fed funds rate will help to keep mortgage interest rates historically favorable.
Growth in the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated at 2.0 percent this year, below the 2.9 percent growth rate in 2006; GDP is likely to grow 2.7 percent next year.
The unemployment rate is forecast to average 4.6 percent this year, unchanged from 2006. Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, is expected to be 2.8 percent in 2007, compared with 3.2 percent last year. Inflation-adjusted disposable personal income will probably increase 3.6 percent in 2007, up from 3.1 percent last year.
The National Association of Realtors®, “The Voice for Real Estate,” is America’s largest trade association, representing more than 1.3 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.
The Real State of Real Estate
Oct 16th
Presented by: Gary Watts – Real Estate Economist
California Previews Retreat
Monterey, August 2007
Brief History of Real Estate
Historically, housing downturns average 27 months. We are in the 23rd month of the current downturn, so once we are past this financial over-reaction, things should improve. The national median price of a resale home is 3.4% higher than a year ago and the pending sales index is moving back up. There may just be some light beginning to shine at the end of this tunnel!
1970 to 1980
Prior to my entering real estate in 1971, a quote appeared in Business Week (late 1969) due to an increase in housing prices: “The goal of owning a home seems to be getting beyond the reach of more and more Americans. The typical new house today costs about $28,000. “In 1972, interest rates were 7% and it would take over 24 years before a home buyer could be able to obtain those low rates once again – today, we are in the low 6’s. In 1973, banks had a run on deposits and for a period of approximately 8 months there were no lenders who were in a position to make loans to home buyers. This should have caused a collapse in the real estate market, but home prices continued to rise. In 1977, the National Business magazine stated: “The median price of a home today is approaching $50,000. Housing experts predict price rises in the future won’t be that great.”
1980 to 1990
At the end of the 70’s and into the 80’s, inflation hit 21.5% and home loans were reaching 18%! This was followed by a crash (and later bail out) of the savings & loans industry in America. Although large job losses were creating foreclosures, home prices continued to rise. By 1985, Money Magazine made this prediction about home prices: “The golden-age of risk free run-ups in home prices is gone.”With a buildup in defense spending and huge growth in manufacturing sector in the late 1980’s, increased job creation led to a boom in home construction and home prices continued to rise. Then on November 11, 1989, a dramatic event took place: the Berlin Wall came down! With the Evil Empire (the Soviet Union) breaking up, things were going to change around the world and change quickly!
1990 to 2000
In early 1990, Congress began slashing funds for defense spending. Within a very short period of time, a lot of highly paid workers in both defense and manufacturing had lost their jobs. California home prices declined about 12% by 1996 when the San Francisco Examiner said: “A home is where the bad investment is. “In the following 3 years, California home prices rose 19.7% wiping out all the losses of the early ’90’s and ended the decade with net gain of 9.35%. The median price in California has not declined since 1996.
The Media
Today’s media plays up bad economic news now more than ever, which leads to misconceptions about economic realty. Our economy is extremely strong, profits are superb and the world economy is exploding.
. All you read and hear is that real estate is going down, yet last month, prices in the U.S. rose 3.4% from a year ago and California is up almost 1%. The Bay Area prices have gained 4.1% over the last year and southern California median price is up 3.7%.
· Foreclosures are supposed to be at a record high – but last year 98.83% or mortgages did not go to foreclosure. Today, the Bay Area’s foreclosure rate is up only 1.5% over last year while southern California’s foreclosure rate is up 2%.
· The media reported 53,942 notices of default for the 2nd Quarter – a near record high. They are comparing it to the 1st Q. of ‘96 when 61,541 notices were filed but fail to mention that 2 million more home have been built in California since then!
· What if the media’s headlines read: 99.2% of Mortgages are Not in Foreclosure?
· The media and the financial markets have greatly over-reacted, to the real problems that have been revealed in the lending marketplace, which is typical.
The Sub-Prime Market
It may surprise you to know that sub-prime loans make-up only 5% of the U.S. total loan market and Alt – A loans (those with credit better than sub-prime but less than prime) total only 8% of all loans in the U.S.!
1. These exotic loans became a major influence in the early 2000’s, but anyone obtaining them up through 2004 had very few problems due to rapid equity growth. Many with no-money-down purchases soon found they had 20% (+) equity within a year or two!
2. Most of the problems with sub-prime loans originated in the summer of2005 through 2006. In California, 43% of all loans funded during that time were sub-prime loans.
3. Sub-prime loan investors that needed to sell their loans were liquidating their paper for $.96 on the dollar. There has been no current data on sales since August 5th, but with the current turmoil in the financial markets, I am sure they are being “dumped” for less.
4. Here is a financial report on some of the banks that provided the sub-prime money:
· Bear Stearns 2nd quarter revenue was $2.512 billion – a new record!
· Merrill Lynch saw 2nd quarter profits rise 30.2% Morgan Stanley (holding $5.2 billion in sub- prime loans) had a 60% jump in earnings.
· Goldman Saks earned $2.33 billion in the past year.
· Bank of America (#2 U.S. bank), after putting aside $1.81 billion for potential credit losses, saw net income rise to $5.76 billion – up from $5.48 billion last year.
· The media will still report about massive delinquencies and huge foreclosures in the sub-prime market, but those reports will not be accurate because they don’t explain the difference between a delinquent payment, a notice of default or a foreclosure. They tell us “Foreclosures at Record High!” but that is not accurate.
Source: Mortgage Bankers Association, National Homebuilders Association, Inside Mortgage Finance
Delinquencies vs. Notices of Default vs. Foreclosures
Delinquencies
Delinquencies cover any missed payment – even if it is just for one month, it is reported as a delinquency.
1. The delinquency rate on sub-prime loans was running at 13.77%, which is up 13.44% from the previous year. In the last quarter, the delinquency rate dropped to 12.4%!
2. The delinquency rate on Alt-A loans is only 2.69%, while prime loans are at 2.57%.
3. Combining the three rates with the loan volume gives you a delinquency rate for all loans in the U.S. of only 4.84%. The record low is 4.0%.
4. On jumbo mortgages (anything larger than $417,000) the delinquency rate is 0.37%
5. California’s delinquency rate is only 3.25%.
Notices of Default
Notices of Default are filed when lenders’ loans have been delinquent for a specific period of time. These loans begin the foreclosure process. The four states of California, Florida, Nevada and Arizona currently have the largest amount of loans in the foreclosure process. Yet, in the 1st Quarter, 24 states saw a decline in foreclosure starts and 36 states saw a decline in the 2nd quarter!
1. Only 3.23% of all sub-prime loans have entered the foreclosure process, with most of the defaults occurring on loans from Jan. 2005 to June 2006.
2. Only 1.28% of all prime loans have entered the foreclosure process.
3. In California, the last quarter saw 53,943 notices filed, with most filings being on loans from the summer of 2005 to the summer of 2006.
4. The lowest number was 12,417 in the 3rd Quarter of 2004.
Foreclosures
Foreclosures occur when the buyer has been unsuccessful in curing the debt, and either a lender or an investor has acquired the property. As of last month, there was 1 foreclosure filing for every 693 homes in America.
1. For sub-prime loans, 68% of the buyers are able to prevent the foreclosure by either refinancing the property or successfully selling their home.
2. For prime loans, the foreclosure rate is 0.86%. Last year, the U.S. saw a combined foreclosure rate of only 1.09% while California’s rate was 1.17%!
3. California now ranks #4 in the nation in foreclosures – down from #1!
The media will try to scare you with numbers like $1 trillion in loans needs to be recast this year and that foreclosures could cost lenders as much as $2.3 billion dollars! They never mention that there is $10.4 trillion of mortgages with $56 trillion dollars of equity in American households.
Add to that the wealth of the U.S. at $70 trillion, with the value of stocks between $15 and $20 trillion, while the bond market is even larger. So these loses (should they occur) should not have any great effect on home prices.
A final note about foreclosures: The #1 reason they occurred was due to fraud. The #2 reason was unethical lending, followed by #3 – loss of job, and finally #4 was medical reasons. By the way, mortgage insurers are in a good position to cover losses at these (high) levels.
Source: Mortgage Bankers Association, Federal Reserve, Federal Bureau of Investigation
Why the World Changed in 1979 Baby Boomers’ Impact
Never before in the history of the world has a generation accumulated so much wealth as the baby boomers. The Internal Revenue Service will tell you that from 1945 to 1979, incomes increased at the same rate for all tax brackets. By 1979, the early baby boomers had been in the workplace for over 10 years. They were the most educated generation to enter the work force, and they had the skills for our changing world. Today, the IRS tells us that, from 1979 to 2004, the median income in the U.S. rose 18%. From 2004 to 2005, incomes grew 5.8%.
The number of taxpayers making more than $100,000 grew by 3.4 million and accounted for more than two-thirds of the growth vs. 2000! Half of Americans make less than $30,000 and two-thirds make less than $50,000.
Those making more than $1 million grew by 26% and numbered 303,817 in 2005! These individuals, who constitute less than a quarter of 1 percent of all taxpayers, reaped almost 47 percent of the total income gains in 2005.
The top 85% of the nation’s wealth resides with the richest 15% of Americans; the bottom 50% of Americans holds only 2.5% of the nation’s wealth.
Over the next decade, there will be a 25% increase in the population over 50 years of age. They have more money than any preceding generation, due to having dual incomes, equity growth, and record inheritances (60% goes to the top 40%)! This age group is spending $2 trillion dollars annually! Last
year, 2.1 million boomers turned 60, with 25% planning on not retiring.
They found a way to mix leisure with work and are not ready to fully retire – they have money and income and they are still investing in real estate.